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☆ Monday's analyst calls: 30% upside for GM, Carvana upgrade, Anheuser-Busch downgrade
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

So far this morning there is a big auto stock upgrade and a big beverage downgrade, among other calls. Morgan Stanley dimmed its view on Citizens Financial , downgrading the stock to equal weight from overweight but maintained its $31 per share price target, implying roughly 9% upside. The firm made the chipmaker its top large cap pick on Monday, and reiterated an overweight rating alongside a $620 per share price target. The analyst raised his price target from $25 to $40, which represents 14% upside. "We continue to see ABI's broadly EM focused sales exposure as attractive combined with the company's market leading market share positions," analyst Mitch Collett said.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Manan, Brian Evans, Piper Sandler, Piper Sandler's, Harsh Kumar, Kumar, Wells, Ike Boruchow, Boruchow, — Brian Evans, JPMorgan's Rajat Gupta, Carvana, John Melloy, Bud Light, Mitch Collett, Vijay Rakesh, Rakesh Organizations: CNBC, East West Bancorp, Citizens Financial, Citizens, West Bancorp, Nvidia, TAM, Wells, JPMorgan Carvan, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank downgrades Anheuser, Busch, Deutsche Bank, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Staples, Beverages, Mizuho Securities Mizuho Securities, General, United Auto Workers, GM, Vehicles, UAW Locations: China, Wells, Friday's, North America, N.A

The Wall Street sign is pictured at the New York Stock exchange (NYSE) in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., March 9, 2020. REUTERS/Carlo Allegri/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 16 (Reuters) - U.S. bank profits are expected to shrink in the coming months, but the industry has regained its footing after the biggest bank failures since the 2008 financial crisis, analysts said. "Nobody wants to own a lot of bank stocks, whether it's large cap, mid cap, ahead of a credit crunch, ahead of a recession." Michaud, CEO of KBW:"There are a lot of healthier banks, I think, that would look to acquire the banks that have low credit performance. Reporting by Lananh Nguyen, Nupur Anand and Pete Schroeder in New York Editing by Mark PotterOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Carlo Allegri, Thomas Michaud, Keefe, Erika Najarian, Morgan Stanley, We're, Eugene Ludwig, Ludwig, Mitch Eitel, Sullivan, Cromwell, " Michaud, Lananh Nguyen, Nupur Anand, Pete Schroeder, Mark Potter Organizations: New York Stock, REUTERS, delinquencies, UBS, Ludwig Advisors, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, New York

Overall U.S. banks' cash assets were $3.26 trillion as of Aug. 23, up 5.4% from the end of 2022. The SVB failure triggered a sudden dash for cash at banks, which within two weeks had bulked up cash assets to $3.49 trillion, the highest level since April 2022. It has $420 billion in cash and $990 billionof what it calls high quality liquidity assets and other unencumbered securities, it said. "The good news is for some of these banks re-investing cash is that we have pretty high short-term rates," said Mac Sykes, portfolio manager at Gabelli Funds. "It's definitely opportunistic and advantageous to be investing short-term securities."

Persons: Carlo Allegri, David Fanger, Moody's, Brendan Browne, Manan Gosalia, Morgan Stanley, Peter Marshall, Mac Sykes, Saeed Azhar, Ann Saphir, Niket, Megan Davies, Nick Zieminski, Richard Chang Organizations: Bank of America, REUTERS, FRANCISCO, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Federal, Graphics, Reuters, JPMorgan, Federal Reserve, Regulators, FDIC, Gabelli, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Silicon

☆ Regional banks face another hit as regulators force them to raise debt levels
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-29 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Saul Loeb | AFP | Getty ImagesU.S. regulators on Tuesday unveiled plans to force regional banks to issue debt and bolster their so-called living wills, steps meant to protect the public in the event of more failures. Higher funding costsThe requirements will create "moderately higher funding costs" for regional banks, the agencies acknowledged. Still, the industry will have three years to conform to the new rule once enacted, and many banks already hold acceptable forms of debt, according to the regulators. They estimated that regional banks already have roughly 75% of the debt they will ultimately need to hold. Analysts have focused on the debt requirements because that is the most impactful change for bank shareholders.

Persons: Martin Gruenberg, Saul Loeb, Banks, Gruenberg, What's, Morgan Stanley, Manan Gosalia Organizations: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Banking, Urban Affairs, Capitol, AFP, Getty, Treasury Department, Office, Currency, Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, FDIC, Brookings Institution, Silicon Valley Bank, Regulators, Analysts, T Bank, Citizens Financial, Northern Trust, Fifth Third Bancorp, Bank Locations: Washington , DC, Silicon

Morgan Stanley analyst warned of potentially big swings for some of the regional banks it covers as the fallout for the crisis continues. Analyst Manan Gosalia downgraded Commerce Bancshares and Prosperity Bancshares to underweight from equal weight. Commerce Bancshares' new price target of $48 implies shares declining 3.5% from Monday's close. Meanwhile, the analysts' new price target of $60 per share for Prosperity Bancshares implies a 1% loss from where shares closed on Monday. To be sure, the analyst said that in the case deposit outflows do accelerate, Commerce Bancshares and Prosperity Bancshares would end up outperforming their peers due to their "generally more resilient funding profiles."

☆ Wall Street analysts like these regional bank stocks if you can withstand the chaos in the market
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The continued slide for regional bank stocks after the failure of First Republic last week has created some buying opportunities in the sector, according to Wall Street analysts. "We believe this recent stock reaction is overdone as there is currently no evidence of accelerating deposit outflows. We see accelerating deposit costs, not accelerating deposit outflows, as the most significant headwind for the midcap banks over the next several quarters," Gosalia wrote. Huntington and Webster also rise to the top of the heap for RBC Capital Markets analyst Jon Arfstrom. Both Huntington and Webster are down about 30% for the year, which is better than the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE).

Morgan Stanley analyst Manan Gosalia, in a report earlier this week, set a target price of $54 for First Republic shares in a best-case scenario. "I have not considered or discussed anything having to do with blanket insurance or guarantees of deposits," she said. The Morgan Stanley report considered that a potential extension of FDIC insurance could bring a majority of First Republic's customers back. Even if it clinches a cash infusion, the lender will probably need to take losses on securities in its so-called held-to-maturity portfolio, the Morgan Stanley analysts wrote. In the worst-case scenario, First Republic's shares would sink to just $1, Morgan Stanley analysts estimated.

Morgan Stanley analyst Manan Gosalia, in a report earlier this week, set a target price of $54 for First Republic shares in a best-case scenario. That hope was reduced on Wednesday, after Yellen told a hearing of the U.S. Senate's Appropriations Subcommittee on Financial Services that the government "is not considering insuring all uninsured bank deposits." The Morgan Stanley report considered that a potential extension of FDIC insurance could bring a majority of First Republic's customers back. Even if it clinches a cash infusion, the lender will probably need to take losses on securities in its so-called held to maturity portfolio, the Morgan Stanley analysts wrote. In the worst-case scenario, First Republic's shares would sink to just $1, Morgan Stanley analysts estimated.

☆ First Republic's stock could be stuck at $25 even if deposits start to return, Morgan Stanley says
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-20 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

First Republic 's stock is unlikely to see a significant rebound after the regional bank suffered major outflows of deposits, according to Morgan Stanley. The stock was trading near $115 per share before troubles emerged at the now failed Silicon Valley Bank, sparking a sell-off in regional bank stocks. FRC 1M mountain First Republic's stock has fallen sharply since the start of the regional banking crisis. Based on borrowing from the Federal Reserve that First Republic disclosed last week, deposit outflows at First Republic may have been roughly $86 billion, Morgan Stanley estimated. The outlook for First Republic is still highly uncertain, Gosalia said, and Morgan Stanley has an underweight rating and no formal price target for the stock.

☆ SVB Financial issues are unlikely to spread to other banks, Wall Street analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The capital issues at SVB Financial sparked a sell-off among bank stocks on Thursday, but the tech-focused bank's woes will likely not be a preview of wider issues in the banking system, according to Wall Street analysts. KBWB 5D mountain Bank stocks fell sharply on Thursday. Morgan Stanley analysts Manan Gosalia and Betsy Graseck echoed that sentiment, saying in a note that the issues at hand appeared to specific to SVB. "Current pressures facing SIVB are highly idiosyncratic and should not be viewed as a read-across to other banks we cover. RBC analyst Gerard Cassidy said that banks without large retail customer bases could be in for a rocky period.

In this photo illustration of the TradingView stock market chart of SVB Financial Group seen displayed on a smartphone with the SVB Financial Group logo in the background. Shares of SVB Financial Group , known as Silicon Valley Bank, tumbled for a second day Friday and weighed on the whole banking sector again on fears more banks would incur heavy losses on their bond portfolios. The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF was off another 1.5% Friday following an 8% tumble on Thursday. Signature Bank , which does a lot of business with the crypto sector, was off 4% in premarket trading following a 12% tumble Thursday. On Thursday, the bank was worth $6.3 billion with that value set to drop even more when trading begins Friday.

☆ Morgan Stanley downgrades Silvergate Capital, says it's time to sell stock after FTX collapse
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-05 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

It's time to sell Silvergate Capital following the FTX collapse, according to Morgan Stanley. "The ongoing stress in the crypto ecosystem post the FTX collapse drives significant uncertainty on deposit flows at SI in the near term," Gosalia wrote in a Monday note. Shares of Silvergate Capital have cratered this year, tumbling nearly 65% this quarter alone, mirroring the bear market in cryptocurrencies. "The fallout of the FTX collapse could drive litigation and headline risk across the crypto space. Although the stock is down 80% YTD, we prefer other avenues for deployment within our expanded coverage until the risks become clearer," Gosalia wrote.

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